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Mainstream Top 40
HitPredictor Charts
Hit Potential
New releases that tested with Hit Potential prior to airplay, ranked in order of weekly Mediabase airplay detections and updated each Monday.
LW
TW
Mediabase airplay rank
HitPredictor Score
Score
2
1
Iggy_Azalea
Black Widow (feat Rita Ora)
Iggy Azalea
Def Jam
70.20
1
2
Taylor Swift
Shake It Off
Taylor Swift
Big Machine/Republic
105.66
3
3
Meghan_Trainor
All About That Bass
Meghan Trainor
Epic
68.97
4
4
Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj
Bang Bang
Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj
Republic
84.28
8
7
Ed Sheeran
Don't
Ed Sheeran
Atlantic
77.86
5
8
Ariana Grande
Break Free (feat. Zedd)
Ariana Grande
Republic
76.61
10
9
Echosmith
Cool Kids
Echosmith
Warner Bros.
82.42
15
11
Maroon 5
Animals
Maroon 5
222/Interscope
98.80
9
12
Charli XCX
Boom Clap
Charli XCX
Atlantic/RRP
65.77
17
13
Nick_Jonas
Jealous
Nick Jonas
Island/Republic
65.55
18
15
Mr_Probz
Waves
Mr Probz
Ultra/RCA
65.64
19
19
Pitbull
Fireball (featuring John Ryan)
Pitbull
Mr. 305/RCA
68.84
24
21
Sam_Smith
I'm Not The Only One
Sam Smith
Capitol
72.73
21
23
Nicki Minaj
Anaconda
Nicki Minaj
YMCMB/Republic
68.18
26
24
Nico & Vinz
In Your Arms
Nico & Vinz
Warner Bros.
70.49
29
28
Fergie
L. A. Love (la la)
Fergie
will.i.am/Interscope
65.23
31
29
Mary_Lambert
Secrets
Mary Lambert
Capitol
67.05
39
30
Ariana Grande & the Weeknd
Love Me Harder
Ariana Grande & the Weeknd
Republic
73.46
34
32
Fall Out Boy
Centuries
Fall Out Boy
Island/Republic
75.07
33
34
Rixton
Wait On Me
Rixton
SB/GLM/ML/Interscope
67.41
38
35
Charli XCX
Break The Rules
Charli XCX
Atlantic/RRP
71.95
35
36
David Guetta
Dangerous (feat. Sam Martin)
David Guetta
Parlophone/Atlantic
66.66
44
41
Ella_Henderson
Ghost
Ella Henderson
SYCO/Columbia
73.78
103
52
Jessie J
New Burnin' Up (feat 2 Chainz)
Jessie J
Lava/Republic
76.47
190
55
Meghan_Trainor
New Lips Are Movin'
Meghan Trainor
Epic
70.44
58
56
Lillywood & Robin Schulz
Prayer In C
Lillywood & Robin Schulz
Big Beat/RRP
65.43
73
69
Colbie Caillat
Try
Colbie Caillat
Republic
77.61
79
75
Fences
Arrows (feat Macklemore & Ryan ...
Fences
Elektra/Warner Bros.
68.91
170
185
Eminem
Guts Over Fear (featuring Sia)
Eminem
Aftermath/Interscope
83.33
Recent Hits
New releases that tested with Hit Potential prior to airplay, ranked in order of weekly Mediabase airplay detections and updated each Monday.
HitPredictor Score
Score
Taylor Swift
I Knew You Were Trouble
Taylor Swift
Big Machine/Republic
98.49
Pink
Just Give Me A Reason
Pink
RCA
96.55
Bruno Mars
When I Was Your Man
Bruno Mars
Atlantic
93.33
Ellie Goulding
Burn
Ellie Goulding
Interscope
90.33
Bruno Mars
Locked Out Of Heaven
Bruno Mars
Atlantic
88.28
Demi Lovato
Really Don't Care (feat Cher Ll...
Demi Lovato
Hollywood
88.26
Katy Perry
Dark Horse (feat Juicy J)
Katy Perry
Capitol
87.44
Kelly Clarkson
Catch My Breath
Kelly Clarkson
RCA/Columbia Nashville
87.19
Maroon 5
Love Somebody
Maroon 5
222/Interscope
85.80
John Legend
All Of Me
John Legend
Columbia
84.00
Maroon 5
One More Night
Maroon 5
222/Interscope
83.85
Imagine Dragons
Demons
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
83.04
Maroon 5
Daylight
Maroon 5
222/Interscope
82.88
OneRepublic
Counting Stars
OneRepublic
Mosley/Interscope
82.50
Pitbull
Feel This Moment (feat Christin...
Pitbull
Mr. 305/RCA
81.55
Maroon 5
Payphone (feat Wiz Khalifa)
Maroon 5
222/Interscope
81.46
Anna Kendrick
Cups (Pitch Perfect's When I'm ...
Anna Kendrick
UMe/Republic
81.17
American_Authors
Best Day Of My Life
American Authors
Island/Republic
80.88
Pink
Blow Me (One Last Kiss)
Pink
RCA
80.77
Alex Clare
Too Close
Alex Clare
Republic
79.84
Olly Murs
Troublemaker (featuring Flo Rida)
Olly Murs
Columbia
78.85
Lorde
Team
Lorde
Lava/Republic
78.44
Imagine Dragons
Radioactive
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
78.10
Owl City
Good Time (with Carly Rae Jepsen)
Owl City
Interscope/Republic
76.90
Lorde
Royals
Lorde
Lava/Republic
76.27
Katy Perry
Wide Awake
Katy Perry
Capitol
76.25
Pharrell Williams
Happy
Pharrell Williams
Columbia
76.07
MKTO
Classic
MKTO
Columbia
76.00
Taylor Swift
We Are Never Ever Getting Back ...
Taylor Swift
Big Machine/Republic
75.81
Demi Lovato
Neon Lights
Demi Lovato
Hollywood
75.30
Avicii
Wake Me Up
Avicii
PRMD/Island/Republic
74.27
Swedish House Mafia
Dont You Worry Child
Swedish House Mafia
Astralwerks/Capitol
74.11
Robin Thicke
Blurred Lines (featuring Pharre...
Robin Thicke
Star Trak/Interscope
73.93
Ellie Goulding
Lights
Ellie Goulding
Interscope
73.89
Gym Class Heroes
Stereo Hearts
Gym Class Heroes
Decaydance/Fueled By Ramen/RRP
73.83
Sam_Smith
Stay With Me
Sam Smith
Capitol
73.11
Calvin Harris featuring Ellie Goulding
I Need Your Love
Calvin Harris featuring Ellie Goulding
Interscope/Columbia
72.90
Maroon 5
Moves Like Jagger (feat Christi...
Maroon 5
222/Interscope
72.84
fun.
Some Nights
fun.
Fueled By Ramen/RRP
72.69
David Guetta
Titanium (feat. Sia)
David Guetta
Parlophone/Atlantic
72.68
Florida-Georgia Line
Cruise (remix) feat Nelly
Florida-Georgia Line
Republic Nashville
72.39
Justin Timberlake
Mirrors
Justin Timberlake
RCA
72.36
Demi Lovato
Give Your Heart A Break
Demi Lovato
Hollywood
72.27
Iggy_Azalea
Fancy (feat Charli XCX)
Iggy Azalea
Def Jam
72.22
Justin Bieber
As Long As You Love Me (feat Bi...
Justin Bieber
Island/IDJMG
71.65
Avicii
Hey Brother
Avicii
PRMD/Island/Republic
71.64
David Guetta
Turn Me On (feat Nicki Minaj)
David Guetta
Parlophone/Atlantic
71.56
Kelly Clarkson
Stronger (What Doesnt Kill You)
Kelly Clarkson
RCA/Columbia Nashville
71.56
Gotye
Somebody That I Used To Know
Gotye
Fairfax/Republic
71.25
Flo Rida
Whistle
Flo Rida
Atlantic
70.92
Bruno Mars
It Will Rain
Bruno Mars
Atlantic
70.78
Sia
Chandelier
Sia
RCA
70.78
Adele
Set Fire To The Rain
Adele
Columbia
70.73
Phillip Phillips
Home
Phillip Phillips
19/Interscope
70.40
Rihanna
Stay (feat Mikky Ekko)
Rihanna
Def Jam/IDJMG
70.16
Lumineers
Ho Hey
Lumineers
Dualtone
70.14
Calvin Harris
Sweet Nothing (feat Florence We...
Calvin Harris
Columbia
70.00
Passenger
Let Her Go
Passenger
Nettwerk/WBR
69.85
Disclosure
Latch (feat Sam Smith)
Disclosure
Cherrytree/Interscope
69.33
Neon Trees
Everybody Talks
Neon Trees
Island/Republic
69.26
Nicki Minaj
Super Bass
Nicki Minaj
YMCMB/Republic
69.16
Katy Perry
The One That Got Away
Katy Perry
Capitol
68.37
Rihanna
Diamonds
Rihanna
Def Jam/IDJMG
67.75
will.i.am
Scream and Shout (with Britney ...
will.i.am
Interscope
67.67
Rihanna
We Found Love
Rihanna
Def Jam/IDJMG
67.58
Justin Bieber
Beauty And A Beat (feat Nicki M...
Justin Bieber
Island/IDJMG
67.19
Ed Sheeran
The A Team
Ed Sheeran
Atlantic
67.14
Fall Out Boy
My Songs Know What You Did In T...
Fall Out Boy
Island/Republic
66.98
Macklemore and Ryan Lewis
Cant Hold Us (feat Ray Dalton)
Macklemore and Ryan Lewis
Macklemore/ADA/WBR
66.72
Carly Rae Jepsen
Call Me Maybe
Carly Rae Jepsen
School Boy/604/Interscope
66.67
Imagine Dragons
Its Time
Imagine Dragons
KidinaKorner/Interscope
66.57
Zedd
Clarity (featuring Foxes)
Zedd
Interscope
66.45
Katy Perry
This Is How We Do
Katy Perry
Capitol
65.89
Icona Pop
I Love It (featuring Charli XCX)
Icona Pop
Big Beat/Atlantic
65.74
Neighbourhood
Sweater Weather
Neighbourhood
Columbia
65.66
Lana Del Rey
Summertime Sadness
Lana Del Rey
Interscope
65.65
Pitbull
Timber (featuring Ke$ha)
Pitbull
Mr. 305/RCA
65.60
Magic!
Rude
Magic!
Latium/RCA
65.25
Paramore
Ain't It Fun
Paramore
Fueled By Ramen/RRP
64.79
Cher Lloyd
Want You Back
Cher Lloyd
Syco/Epic
66.59
Lady Gaga
The Edge Of Glory
Lady Gaga
Streamline/Interscope
75.90
One Direction
What Makes You Beautiful
One Direction
SYCO/Columbia
73.46
Flo Rida
Wild Ones
Flo Rida
Atlantic
71.30
Gavin DeGraw
Not Over You
Gavin DeGraw
RCA
69.03
Ed Sheeran
Sing
Ed Sheeran
Atlantic
65.57
Katy Perry
Roar
Katy Perry
Capitol
96.14
Macklemore and Ryan Lewis
White Walls (featuring ScHoolbo...
Macklemore and Ryan Lewis
Macklemore/ADA/WBR
85.59
Ariana Grande
Problem (feat Iggy Azalea)
Ariana Grande
Republic
85.17
Aloe_Blacc
The Man
Aloe Blacc
Interscope
68.55
Justin Timberlake
Not A Bad Thing
Justin Timberlake
RCA
67.41
Selena Gomez
Slow Down
Selena Gomez
Hollywood
88.70
Bad Meets Evil
Lighters (feat Bruno Mars)
Bad Meets Evil
Interscope
79.65
Eminem
The Monster (feat Rihanna)
Eminem
Aftermath/Interscope
72.32
Katy Perry
Birthday
Katy Perry
Capitol
70.33
Katy Perry
Last Friday Night
Katy Perry
Capitol
69.65
Wiz Khalifa feat. Snoop Dogg
Young, Wild & Free (feat Bruno ...
Wiz Khalifa feat. Snoop Dogg
Rostrum/Atlantic
69.14
Lady Gaga
Applause
Lady Gaga
Streamline/Interscope
81.52
Coldplay
A Sky Full Of Stars
Coldplay
Parlophone/Atlantic
71.67
Beyonce
Drunk In Love (featuring Jay Z)
Beyonce
Columbia
69.84
This Week's New HitPredictors
HitPredictor Score
Score
Jessie J
New Burnin' Up (feat 2 Chainz)
Jessie J
Lava/Republic
76.47
Meghan_Trainor
New Lips Are Movin'
Meghan Trainor
Epic
70.44
 
This Week's Proven & Developing Hits
Updated each Monday.
Proven Hits
Songs that test top 10 in national callout or top 10 in callout in key markets for the first time this week.
UpAnimals
Maroon 5 (222/Interscope)
HitPredictor on Sep 29, 2014 -- Callout: top 10 in RateTheMusic national research. Top 10 Spins: top 10 at 33 Top 40 stations, led by #2 for Tim Rainey at WDZH.
Score: 98.80
TW: 11, LW: 15, Spins: +1439
UpNewBlame (featuring John Newman)
Calvin Harris (Columbia)
Callout: top 10 in key markets this week. Top 10 Spins: top 10 at 77 Top 40 stations, led by #1 for Steve Salhany at WODS and Jill Strada at WFLC.
TW: 10, LW: 11, Spins: +826
Developing Hits
Songs that are top 10 spin gainers this week and not yet Proven. Each song only appears once as a Developing Hit.
UpNew 43-2014-10-20 11:48:34Secrets
Mary Lambert (Capitol)
HitPredictor on Aug 18, 2014 -- Movers: top 10 gainer at Top 40 this week, up over 750 spins.
Score: 67.05
TW: 29, LW: 31, Spins: +753
UpNew 43-2014-10-20 11:48:09Love Me Harder
Ariana Grande & the Weeknd (Republic)
HitPredictor on Oct 6, 2014 -- Movers: the #2 gainer at Top 40 this week, up almost 1350 spins.
Score: 73.46
TW: 30, LW: 39, Spins: +1342
UpNew 43-2014-10-20 11:52:30Steal My Girl
One Direction (Syco/Columbia)
Movers: top 10 gainer at Top 40 this week, up almost 875 spins.
TW: 22, LW: 25, Spins: +863
This Month's Artist Chart
Artists
The HitPredictor Artist Chart is a gauge of artist popularity, as rated by thousands of carefully screened music fans. Results are reported monthly.
2M
LM
TM
HitPredictor Artist Chart Rank
1
1
1
Justin Timberlake
Justin Timberlake
3
2
2
Maroon 5
Maroon 5
2
3
3
Katy Perry
Katy Perry
4
5
4
Bruno Mars
Bruno Mars
5
4
5
Pink
Pink
8
7
6
Lady Gaga
Lady Gaga
13
9
7
Beyonce
Beyonce
7
6
8
Taylor Swift
Taylor Swift
11
11
9
Rihanna
Rihanna
6
8
10
Eminem
Eminem
15
10
11
 
Adele
14
14
12
 
Britney Spears
25
25
13
 
Demi Lovato
10
12
14
 
OneRepublic
20
15
15
 
Paramore
24
24
16
 
Ariana Grande
18
13
17
 
Kelly Clarkson
17
16
18
 
Jason Derulo
21
18
19
 
Lorde
22
22
20
 
Iggy Azalea
9
17
21
 
Ellie Goulding
12
19
22
 
Macklemore and Ryan Lewis
19
21
23
 
Pharrell Williams
30
30
24
 
Shakira
16
20
25
 
Imagine Dragons
27
27
26
 
One Direction
26
26
27
 
John Legend
29
28
28
 
Selena Gomez
23
23
29
 
Usher
32
29
30
 
Bastille
--
--
31
 
Sam Smith
28
31
32
 
Ed Sheeran
33
33
33
 
Pitbull
34
38
34
 
Fall Out Boy
38
35
35
 
Black Eyed Peas
--
--
36
 
Jay Z
37
40
37
 
Ke$ha
--
--
38
 
Jennifer Lopez
31
34
39
 
Sara Bareilles
49
49
40
 
Drake
40
41
41
 
fun.
41
36
42
 
Mariah Carey
50
--
43
 
Enrique Iglesias
44
42
44
 
Ne-Yo
43
45
45
 
Flo Rida
47
47
46
 
Zedd
--
44
47
 
Avicii
39
39
48
 
Coldplay
42
43
49
 
Miley Cyrus
--
--
50
 
Jessie J